Imboni: Ngenxa yomthelela wezintela zase-US, iziqukathi zezimpahla zase-Ocean zinqabile

Ukuhlaziywa Kwezimboni kubonisa ukuthi intuthuko yakamuva encwadini yezohwebo ye-US baphinde babeka amaketanga omhlaba wonke ngesimo esingabaliwe, njengoba umembana noMongameli kaDonald Trump kanye nokungaqiniseki kwamabhizinisi athile asebenza eNyakatho Melika.

Lo mqondo wokungaqiniseki ungenile ezitsheni zezimpahla zolwandle, futhi ngokuya ngemininingwane ye-Freighting Baltic Index, iziqukathi zezimpahla zase-Ocean Baltight ziwile ebuhlungwini besizini yendabuko ekuqaleni konyaka.

Ukumenyezelwa kokuqala kwentela engama-25% kuzo zonke izimpahla ezingeniswe yi-United States ezivela eMexico naseCanada kwaba nomphumela we-ripple embonini yezinto. Kodwa-ke, kungakapheli izinsuku ezimbalwa, uhulumeni ukhiphe umlando wokumiswa kwenyanga eyodwa yemikhiqizo yezimoto embozwe yisivumelwano sase-United States saseMexico Canada, eyayisekwe kuyo yonke imikhiqizo engenisiwe ngaphansi kwesivumelwano. Lokhu kuthinta u-50% wokungenisa okuvela eCanada kanye nama-38% okungeniswa okuvela eMexico, kufaka phakathi imikhiqizo yezimoto, ukudla kanye nemikhiqizo yezolimo, kanye nemikhiqizo eminingi kagesi neye-elekthronikhi.

Izimpahla ezisele ezingenisiwe ezibiza cishe ama- $ 1 billion ngosuku manje sezibhekene nokwanda kwentela engama-25%. Lesi sigaba sihlanganisa imikhiqizo ehlukahlukene evela kwizingcingo, amakhompyutha kumadivayisi wezokwelapha. Ukuqaliswa okungazelelwe kanye nokumiswa okuyingxenye okulandelayo kwalezi zintela kuholele ekuphazamisweni okukuhle kokuhamba komngcele we-Cross-Border kanye neTraffic Groft kusuka eMexico naseCanada.

UJuda Levine, umqondisi ocwaningayo eFreighsos, wabhala ngombiko okhishwe ngedatha yakamuva yokuthi le nqubo yamanani entengo, kepha ingxenye yephethini ebanzi kaTrump yokusebenzisa inqubo yezohwebo njengoba ithola izinhloso ezahlukahlukene. Kulokhu, izinhloso ezimenyezelwe zibandakanya ukubhekana nezinkinga zokuphepha komngcele futhi zivimbele ukugeleza kwezifo ze-FENDANYL kanye nabaFubrants ezingekho emthethweni. Kodwa-ke, eminye imibiko iphakamisa ukuthi ngokwengxenye lokhu kungenxa yabakhiqizi bezimoto abathembisa ukuguqula ukukhiqizwa okuthile kusuka eCanada naseMexico kuya e-United States

ULevin wathi ukungaqiniseki okulethwa yilezi zinguquko ezisheshayo zenqubomgomo kwenza ukuhlela nokulungiswa kwabathungi kuyinselele enkulu kakhulu. Izinkampani eziningi zamukela isimo sengqondo sokulinda nokubona ngaphambi kokuzibandakanya nezinguquko ezinkulu emaketangeni atholakalayo. Kodwa-ke, usongo lokukhuphuka kwamanani entela luseduze, ikakhulukazi izimpahla ezingenisiwe ezivela eChina nabanye abalingani base-US, okuye kwashukumisela abanye abangenisi ukuthi bathumele izimpahla zasolwandle ngaphambi kwesheduli kusukela ngoNovemba, ukukhulisa izindleko zokufuna kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela kanye nezindleko zokuthumela kanye nokuthumela.

Idatha yakamuva evela kuNational Retail Federation ibonisa ukuthi kusukela ngoNovemba nyakenye kuze kube ngoFebhuwari kulo nyaka, ivolumu yokungenisa yempahla yase-US yakhula cishe nge-12% uma iqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo. Yize kulindeleke ukuthi ivolumu yezimpahla izohlala iqinile kulo lonke, kulindeleke ukuthi ivolovo yezimpahla ngoJuni nangoJulayi lizoncipha, libonisa isiqalo esibuthakathaka kwisizini yendabuko.

Umthelela walokhu kuguquguquka kwenqubomgomo yezohwebo kubonakala futhi ezitsheni zezimpahla. Ngemuva koNyaka oMusha weLunar, amanani e-Trans Pacific Directioner aqhubeka ehle, ngamanani emithwalo eWest Coast awela ama- $ 2660 ngeyunithi elilinganayo lamamitha angama-40 nasogwini olusempumalanga eyehlisela ku- $ 3754 nge-FEU. Uma kuqhathaniswa ngonyaka owedlule, lezi zinombolo zinciphile ngo-40% futhi zisezingeni eliphansi noma ngaphansi kwephuzu eliphansi le-2024 ngemuva koNyaka oMusha wenyanga.
Ngokufanayo, emavikini asanda kwedlula, amanani entengo ahamba olwandle e-Asia Europe ukuhweba nawo awe ngaphansi kwephuzu eliphansi lonyaka odlule.

Izinga le-Asia Nordic likhuphuke ngo-3% kuya ku- $ 3064 nge-FEU. Intengo yase-Asia Mediterrane ihlala isezingeni lama- $ 4159 nge-FEU.

Yize i-General Rate Hike ekuqaleni koMashi ihlise lokhu kwehla kwalokhu kwahla kwabe amanani ashubile phezulu ngamakhulu ambalwa amadola, ukwanda bekungaphansi kwe- $ 1000 yokwanda okumenyezelwe ngu-opharetha. Amanani esifundeni sase-Asia Mediterrane asenzile futhi acishe alingane naleyo ngonyaka owedlule.

ULevin wathi ubuthakathaka bamuva nje ngamanani entengo, ikakhulukazi emizileni yePacific, kungenzeka kube ngumphumela wezinto eziningi ezisebenza ndawonye. Lokhu kufaka phakathi ukugcwala kwesidingo ngemuva komkhosi wentwasahlobo, kanye nokwakhiwa kabusha kwakamuva kwe-opharetha, okuholele ekuncintisaneni okuqinile futhi kunciphise ukusebenza kahle kokuphathwa kwamandla njengoba opharetha abajwayelene nezinsizakalo ezisanda kwethulwa.

Lapho embonini ebhekene nokungaqiniseki, amade abo abambalwa abaphambili bayakhulelwa. Lokhu kufaka phakathi i-United States Trade Repelperiment ezwa ngoMashi 24th, ezothatha isinqumo ngamacala ethekwini ahlongozwayo; Ngokwenqubomgomo kaMongameli "America Armerican Okokuqala" imemorandamu, umnqamulajuqu wezinhlaka zokubika izindaba ezahlukahlukene zokuhweba ngu-Ephreli 1st, kuyilapho umnqamulajuqu omusha wokubeka imali ekhokhwayo engu-25% ezimpahleni ze-USMCA zingu-Ephreli 2nd.